Last modified on 11 September 2014, at 17:49

Subprime crisis impact timeline

Subprime mortgage crisis

The subprime mortgage crisis impact timeline lists dates relevant to the creation of a United States housing bubble and the 2005 housing bubble burst (or market correction) and the subprime mortgage crisis which developed during 2007 and 2008. It includes United States enactment of government laws and regulations, as well as public and private actions which affected the housing industry and related banking and investment activity. It also notes details of important incidents in the United States, such as bankruptcies and takeovers, and information and statistics about relevant trends. For more information on reverberations of this crisis throughout the global financial system see Financial crisis of 2007–2010 or Global financial crisis of September–October 2008.

1938–1979Edit

  • 1938: The Federal National Mortgage Association, or Fannie Mae, is established as part of Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal, to purchase mortgages guaranteed by the Veterans Administration and the Federal Housing Administration. This took the loans off the books of mortgage lenders, freeing up capital so that they could make more loans.[1]
  • late 1960s: Fannie Mae is permitted to purchase 'conventional' mortgages (not just VA/FHA).[2]
  • late 1960s: Angelo Mozilo & Loeb found Countrywide Financial, and pioneer the nationwide non-bank mortgage lending business; in the beginning, Mozilo is extremely concerned with credit quality.[3]
  • 1968: Fannie Mae spins off Ginnie Mae as a separate entity. Ginnie will continue to have an explicit, written government guarantee for all its mortgage loans.[4] Fannie Mae, however, is converted into to a stand-alone corporation, a government-sponsored enterprise (GSE).
  • 1970: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) is created by an act of Congress as a government-sponsored enterprise to buy mortgages from the Thrift/savings and loan industry; it is owned by the industry itself (until 1989)
  • The GSEs (Fannie and Freddie) have an 'implicit guarantee' from the government; that if they get into trouble, the government will bail them out. There is no written law or contract stating the government will do this; it is simply assumed by the industry, government officials, and investors. This implicit, unstated guarantee is what allows the debt of Fannie and Freddie to be moved off of the balance sheet of the government. This makes the national debt falsely appear to be lower than it really is, and artificially makes the budget look more balanced. This arrangement will not be tested until 2008 (see below)[5][6]
  • 1970: Ginnie Mae creates the first mortgage-backed security, based on FHA and VA mortgages. It guarantees them.[7]
  • 1971: Freddie issues its first Mortgage Participation Certificate security. This is the first mortgage-backed security made of ordinary mortgages.[8]
  • 1970s: Private companies begin mortgage asset securitization with the creation of private mortgage pools in the 1970s.[9]
  • 1974: Equal Credit Opportunity Act imposes heavy sanctions for financial institutions found guilty of discrimination on the basis of race, color, religion, national origin, sex, marital status, or age[10]
  • 1977: Community Reinvestment Act is enacted to address historical discrimination in lending, such as 'redlining'. The Act encourages commercial banks and savings associations to meet the needs of borrowers in all segments of their communities, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods.[11][12]
  • 1977: Salomon Brothers attempts creation of a "private label" mortgage backed security (one that doesn't involve GSE mortgages). It fails in the marketplace.[13]
  • Late 1970s: Lewis Ranieri (Salomon) and Larry Fink (First Boston) invent securitization; mortgages are pooled and the pool is sliced into tranches, which are then sold to investors.[14][15]

1980–1989Edit

  • 1980: The Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act (DIDMCA) of 1980 grants all thrifts, including savings and loan associations, the power to make consumer and commercial loans and to issue transaction accounts. The law also exempts federally chartered savings banks, installment plan sellers and chartered loan companies from state usury (unlimited high interest rates) limits.[16] The law also allowed home equity loans to be treated just like mortgages.[17]
  • 1981: Each of the 12 Federal Reserve banks establishes a Community Affairs Office to offer public and private guidance in accordance with the Community Reinvestment Act.[18][19]
  • 1981: Salomon Brothers transitions from a private partnership to a public corporation, the first of the Wall St. investment banks to do so. This shifts the risk of financial loss from the partners to shareholders, arguably increasing the appetite for risk.[20]
  • 1981: David Maxwell becomes CEO of Fannie; he greatly increases the use of mortgage securities, forming an uneasy alliance with Ranieri and Fink[5]
  • 1982: Reagan's Commission on Housing recommends the GSEs be separated from the government
  • 1982: Alternative Mortgage Transaction Parity Act of 1982 (AMTPA) preempts state laws allows lenders to originate mortgages with features such as adjustable-rate mortgages, balloon payments, and negative amortization and "allows lenders to make loans with terms that may obscure the total cost of a loan".[21]
  • 1983: The first collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO) is created by Larry Fink's team at First Boston. It is made from Freddie Mac mortgages.[22]
  • 1984: The Secondary Market Enhancement Act (SMMEA), partly formed by Ranieri's closeness with Reagan's staff, attempts to level the playing field on the mortgage securities market so that private mortgage-securities companies (like Salomon Brothers) will be able to be able to compete with the GSEs. The act also is the foundation of the credit ratings agencies importance in the market; the law limits pension funds & others so that they are only allowed to buy mortgage bonds that are rated highly by a NRSRO[23]
  • 1986: Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA) ended prohibited taxpayers from deducting interest on consumer loans, such as credit cards and auto loans, while allowing them to deduct interest paid on mortgage loans, providing an incentive for homeowners to take out home equity loans to pay off consumer debt.[21] Household debt would grow from $705 billion at year end 1974, 60% of disposable personal income, to $7.4 trillion at year end 2000, and finally to $14.5 trillion in midyear 2008, 134% of disposable personal income.[24]
  • 1986: The Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit (REMIC) law is passed, as part of an uneasy alliance between Ranieri (of Salomon) and Maxwell (of Fannie). It prevents double-taxation of mortgage securities; the 'secondary market' for mortgages booms.[25]
  • 1987 The mezzanine CDO was invented at Drexel Burnham Lambert[20]
  • 1987: Maxwell of Fannie, fights bitterly with Wall Street and Congress about allowing GSEs to do REMICs. Lobbying and threats fly back and forth.[26]
  • 1985–1989: The effects of Tax Reform Act of 1986, the elimination of Regulation Q which had capped interest rates banks were allowed to pay, imprudent lending during the late 1970s inflationary period, as well as other causes,[27] led to asset-liability mismatch for many Savings and Loans.[28] This de facto insolvency led to the Savings and Loan Crisis and the failure and/or closure of half of all federally insured savings and loans. The number declined from 3,234 to 1,645.[29][30]
  • Late 1980s: Several groups lose big money on tranched mortgage securities, including Merrill Lynch. The market shrinks.[31]
  • 1988: Guardian Savings and Loan issues the first 'subprime'-backed mortgage security. Long Beach Mortgage begins to move towards the subprime securitization market. Its employees will later go on to lead many other subprime companies.[32]
  • 1989–1995: Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act (FIRREA) established the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC), which closed hundreds of insolvent savings and loans holding $519 billion in assets. The law also moved regulatory authority to the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS). The U.S. government ultimately appropriated $105 billion to resolve the S&L crisis. After banks repaid loans through various procedures, there was a net loss to taxpayers of $40 billion by the end of 1999.[33]
  • The RTC decides to sell the massive amount of bad real estate debt it holds to investors. In order to do this, it decides to use the tools of securitization and structured finance, such as overcollateralization, bond insurance, and subordination. This results in transforming the bad debt into various new products that had high enough ratings to attract investors.[32]

1990–1995Edit

1995–2000Edit

2001-2004Edit

  • 2000–2003: Early 2000s recession spurs government action to rev up economy.[citation needed]
  • 2000-2001: US Federal Reserve lowers Federal funds rate 11 times, from 6.5% (May 2000) to 1.75% (December 2001),[71] creating an easy-credit environment that fueled the growth of US subprime mortgages.[72]
  • 2001: Ex-Wall Streeter John Posner writes A Home Without Equity is just a Rental with Debt, criticizing the massive growth in home equity loans and refinancing for consumer purchases, amongst other things. Charles Kindleberger of Manias, Panics, and Crashes finds it insightful; it is largely ignored.[73][74]
  • 2002-2006: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac combined purchases of incorrectly rated AAA subprime mortgage-backed securities rise from $38 billion to $90 billion per year.[75][76][77]
    • Lenders began to offer loans to higher-risk borrowers,[78] Subprime mortgages amounted to $600 billion (20%) by 2006.[79][80]
    • Speculation in residential real estate rose. During 2005, 28% of homes purchased were for investment purposes, with an additional 12% purchased as vacation homes. During 2006, these figures were 22% and 14%, respectively.[81] As many as 85% of condominium properties purchased in Miami were for investment purposes which the owners resold ("flipped") without the seller ever having lived in them.[82]
  • 2002–2003: Mortgage denial rate of 14 percent for conventional home purchase loans, half of 1997.[47]
  • 2002: Annual home price appreciation of 10% or more in California, Florida, and most Northeastern states.[83]
  • 2003: Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan lowers federal reserve’s key interest rate to 1%, the lowest in 45 years.[87]
  • 2003-2007: U.S. subprime mortgages increased 292%, from $332 billion to $1.3 trillion, due primarily to the private sector entering the mortgage bond market, once an almost exclusive domain of government-sponsored enterprises like Freddie Mac.[90][91]
    • The Federal Reserve fails to use its supervisory and regulatory authority over banks, mortgage underwriters and other lenders, who abandoned loan standards (employment history, income, down payments, credit rating, assets, property loan-to-value ratio and debt-servicing ability), emphasizing instead lender's ability to securitize and repackage subprime loans.[67][92]
  • 2004-2007: Many financial institutions issued large amounts of debt and invested in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), believing that house prices would continue to rise and that households would keep up on mortgage payments.[93]
  • 2004: U.S. homeownership rate peaks with an all time high of 69.2 percent.[94]
    • Following example of Countrywide Financial, the largest U.S. mortgage lender, many lenders adopt automated loan approvals that critics argued were not subjected to appropriate review and documentation according to good mortgage underwriting standards.[95] In 2007, 40% of all subprime loans resulted from automated underwriting.[96][97]Mortgage fraud by borrowers increases.[98]
    • HUD ratcheted up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac affordable-housing goals for next four years, from 50 percent to 56 percent, stating they lagged behind the private market; they purchased $175 billion in 2004—44 percent of the market; from 2004 to 2006, they purchased $434 billion in securities backed by subprime loans[39]
    • October: SEC effectively suspends net capital rule for five firms—Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns and Morgan Stanley. Freed from government imposed limits on the debt they can assume, they levered up 20, 30 and even 40 to 1, buying massive amounts of mortgage-backed securities and other risky investments.[99]

2005Edit

2006Edit

    • 2006: Commerzbank begins to stop building its massive subprime position[110]
    • Early: AIG gets scared and stops selling credit protection against CDOs. The Monolines (AMBAC, MBIA) continue to sell, though.[111][112]
    • May: The subprime lender Ameriquest announces it will cut 3,800 jobs, close its 229 retail branches and rely instead on the Web.[113]
    • May: Merit Financial Inc, based in Kirkland, Washington, files for bankruptcy and closes its doors, firing all but 80 of its 410 employees; Merit’s marketplace decline about 40% and sales are not bringing in enough revenue to support overhead.[87]
    • Mayish: Merrill Lynch fires Jeff Kronthal, who had formerly worked under Lew Ranieri at Salomon Brothers, and his team, because they made a presentation outlining the risks of the mortgage CDO market.[114]
    • Middle: Merrill Lynch CDO sales department has trouble selling the super senior tranche of its CDOs. Instead, it sets up a group within Merrill to buy the tranches so that the sales group can keep making bonuses.[112]
    • Middle: Magnetar Capital starts creating CDOs to fail on purpose, so that it can profit from the insurance (credit default swaps) it has bought against their failure. Their program is so large that it helps extend the credit bubble into 2007, thus making the crash worse.[115]
    • August: U.S. Home Construction Index is down over 40% as of mid-August 2006 compared to a year earlier.[116]
    • September 7: Nouriel Roubini warns the International Monetary Fund about a coming US housing bust, mortgage-backed securities failures, bank failures, and a recession. His work was based partly on his study of recent economic crises in Russia (1998), Argentina (2000), Mexico (1994), and Asia (1997)[117]
    • Fall 2006 J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon directs the firm to reduce its exposure to subprime mortgages.[20]
    • December 2006 Goldman-Sachs claims after the fact that it began reducing its exposure to subprime mortgages at this point. It also begins betting against the housing market, while continuing to sell CDOs to its clients. Others claim these risk decisions were made in the spring and summer 2007.[20][118]

2007Edit

Home sales continue to fall. The plunge in existing-home sales is the steepest since 1989. In Q1/2007, S&P/Case-Shiller house price index records first year-over-year decline in nationwide house prices since 1991.[119] The subprime mortgage industry collapses, and a surge of foreclosure activity (twice as bad as 2006)[120] and rising interest rates threaten to depress prices further as problems in the subprime markets spread to the near-prime and prime mortgage markets.[121]

Lehman Brothers leaders Dick Fuld and Joe Gregory double down; in 2007 they fire their internal critics and spend billions of dollars on real estate investments that will, within a year, become worthless, including Archstone-Smith and McAllister Ranch.[105][122]

    • January 3: Ownit Mortgage Solutions Inc. files for Chapter 11; it owed Merrill Lynch around $93 million.[87]
    • January 29: American Freedom Mortgage, Inc. files for Chapter 7 protection.
    • February 5: Mortgage Lenders Network USA Inc., the country's 15th largest subprime lender with $3.3 billion in loans funded in third quarter 2006, files for Chapter 11.[87]
    • February 8: HSBC warns that bad debt provisions for 2006 would be 20% higher than expected to roughly $10.5bn (£5bn).[123]
    • February 22: HSBC fires head of its US mortgage lending business as losses reach $10.5bn.[124]
    • February 26: Comments by former Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan, set off market tremors.[125]
    • February 27: Dow Jones drops 416 points (3.3%).[126]
    • February–March: Subprime industry collapse; several subprime lenders declaring bankruptcy, announcing significant losses, or putting themselves up for sale.[127] These include Accredited Home Lenders Holding, New Century Financial, DR Horton and Countrywide Financial[128]
    • March: The value of USA subprime mortgages was estimated at $1.3 trillion as of March 2007.[129]
    • March 6: In a speech before the Independent Community Bankers of America's Annual Convention and Techworld, Honolulu, Hawaii, Ben Bernanke, quoting Alan Greenspan, warns that the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, were a source of "systemic risk" and suggest legislation to head off a possible crisis[130]
    • April 2: New Century Financial, largest U.S. subprime lender, files for chapter 11 bankruptcy.[131]
    • April 3: According to CNN Money, business sources report lenders made $640 billion in subprime loans in 2006, nearly twice the level three years earlier; subprime loans amounted to about 20 percent of the nation's mortgage lending and about 17 percent of home purchases; financial firms and hedge funds likely own more than $1 trillion in securities backed by subprime mortgage; about 13 percent of subprime loans are now delinquent, more than five times the delinquency rate for home loans to borrowers with top credit; more than 2 percent of subprime loans had foreclosure proceedings start in the fourth quarter.[131]
    • April 18: Freddie Mac fined $3.8 million by the Federal Election Commission as a result of illegal campaign contributions, much of it to members of the United States House Committee on Financial Services which oversees Freddie Mac.[132]
    • June: "Shorts" actively prevent banks (like Bear Stearns) from helping homeowners avoid foreclosure. Shorts are hedge funds and proprietary bank traders like John Paulson, Kyle Bass, and Greg Lippman, who will profit from the housing crash. Harvey Pitt lobbies the SEC for shorts.[133][134][135]
    • June 7: Bear Stearns & Co informs investors in two of its CDO hedge funds, the High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund and the High-Grade Structured Credit Fund that it was halting redemptions.[136]
    • June 20: Merrill Lynch seizes $800 million in assets from Bear Stearn's hedge funds as the funds implode.[137]
    • June 25: FDIC Chair Shelia Bair cautioned against the more flexible risk management standards of the Basel II international accord and lowering bank capital requirements generally: "There are strong reasons for believing that banks left to their own devices would maintain less capital -- not more -- than would be prudent. The fact is, banks do benefit from implicit and explicit government safety nets...In short, regulators can't leave capital decisions totally to the banks."[138]
    • July 19: Dow Jones Industrial Average closes above 14,000 for the first time in its history.[139]
    • August: Worldwide "credit crunch" as subprime mortgage backed securities are discovered in portfolios of banks and hedge funds around the world, from BNP Paribas to Bank of China. Many lenders stop offering home equity loans and "stated income" loans. Federal Reserve injects about $100 billion into the money supply for banks to borrow at a low rate.[citation needed]
    • August 6: American Home Mortgage Investment Corporation (AHMI) files Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The company expects to see up to a $60 million loss for the first quarter 2007.[140]
    • August 7: Numerous quantitative long/short equity hedge funds suddenly begin experiencing unprecedented losses as a result of what is believed to be liquidations by some managers eager to access cash during the liquidity crisis. It highlights one of the first examples of the contagion effect of the subprime crisis spilling over into a radically different business area.[141]
    • August 8: Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC, Milwaukee, Wisconsin) announces it will discontinue its purchase of Radian Group[142] after suffering a billion-dollar loss[143] of its investment in Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization (C-BASS, New York]).[144]
    • August 9: French investment bank BNP Paribas suspends three investment funds that invested in subprime mortgage debt,[145] due to a "complete evaporation of liquidity"[146] in the market. The bank's announcement is the first of many credit-loss and write-down announcements by banks, mortgage lenders and other institutional investors, as subprime assets went bad, due to defaults by subprime mortgage payers.[147] This announcement compels the intervention of the European Central Bank, pumping 95 billion euros into the European banking market.[148][149]
    • August 10: Central banks coordinate efforts to increase liquidity for first time since the aftermath of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.[150] The United States Federal Reserve (Fed) injects a combined 43 billion USD, the European Central Bank (ECB) 156 billion euros (214.6 billion USD), and the Bank of Japan 1 trillion Yen (8.4 billion USD). Smaller amounts come from the central banks of Australia, and Canada.[150]
    • August 14: Sentinel Management Group suspends redemptions for investors and sells off $312 million worth of assets; three days later Sentinel files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.[151] US and European stock indices continue to fall.[152]
    • August 15: The stock of Countrywide Financial, which is the largest mortgage lender in the United States, falls around 13% on the New York Stock Exchange after Countrywide says foreclosures and mortgage delinquencies have risen to their highest levels since early 2002.[153]
    • August 16: Countrywide Financial Corporation, the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, narrowly avoids bankruptcy by taking out an emergency loan of $11 billion from a group of banks.[154]
    • August 17: The Federal Reserve cuts the discount rate by half a percent to 5.75% from 6.25% while leaving the federal funds rate unchanged in an attempt to stabilize financial markets.[155]
    • August 31: President Bush announces a limited bailout of U.S. homeowners unable to pay the rising costs of their debts.[156] Ameriquest, once the largest subprime lender in the U.S., goes out of business;[157]
    • September 1–3: Fed Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, WY addressed the housing recession that jeopardizes U.S. growth. Several critics argue that the Fed should use regulation and interest rates to prevent asset-price bubbles,[158] blamed former Fed-chairman Alan Greenspan's low interest rate policies for stoking the U.S. housing boom and subsequent bust,[159] and Yale University economist Robert Shiller warned of possible home price declines of fifty percent.[160]
    • September 4: The Libor rate rises to its highest level since December 1998, at 6.7975%, above the Bank of England's 5.75% base rate.[161][162]
    • September 6: The Federal Reserve adds $31.25 billion in temporary reserves (loans) to the US money markets which has to be repaid in two weeks.[163]
    • September 7: US Labor Department announces that non-farm payrolls fell by 4,000 in August 2007, the first month of negative job growth since August 2003, due in large part to problems in the housing and credit markets.[164]
    • September 12: Citibank borrows $3.375 billion from the Fed discount window, prompting then-President of the Federal Reserve Bank of NY Timothy Geithner to call the CFO of Citibank. Over four days in late August and early September, foreign banks borrowed almost $1.7 billion through the discount window.[165]
    • September 17: Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said "we had a bubble in housing"[166] and warns of "large double digit declines" in home values "larger than most people expect."
    • September 18: The Fed lowers interest rates by half a point (0.5%) in an attempt to limit damage to the economy from the housing and credit crises.[167]
    • September 28: Television finance personality Jim Cramer warns Americans on The Today Show, "don't you dare buy a home—you'll lose money," causing a furor among realtors.[168]
    • September 30: Affected by the spiraling mortgage and credit crises, Internet banking pioneer NetBank goes bankrupt,[169] and the Swiss bank UBS announces that it lost US$690 million in the third quarter.[170]
    • October 5: Merrill Lynch announces a US$5.5 billion loss, revised to $8.4 billion on October 24, a sum that credit rating firm Standard & Poor's called "startling".[171]
    • October 10: Hope Now Alliance is created by the US Government and private industry to help some sub-prime borrowers.[172]
    • October 15–17: A consortium of U.S. banks backed by the U.S. government announces a "super fund" of $100 billion to purchase mortgage-backed securities whose mark-to-market value plummeted in the subprime collapse.[173] Both Fed chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson express alarm about the dangers posed by the bursting housing bubble; Paulson says "the housing decline is still unfolding and I view it as the most significant risk to our economy. … The longer housing prices remain stagnant or fall, the greater the penalty to our future economic growth."[174]
    • October 31: Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%.[175]
    • End of October: Merrill Lynch's board fires Stan O'Neal for trying to sell the company; they hire John Thain who winds up having to sell it for a much lower price a year later.[176]
    • November 1: Federal Reserve injects $41B into the money supply for banks to borrow at a low rate. The largest single expansion by the Fed since $50.35B on September 19, 2001.
    • November 15: Financial Accounting Standards Board "Fair Value Measurements" standards upgrade the quality of financial reporting through greater transparency.[177][178] However, this "mark-to-market" accounting may exaggerate the loss in value of an asset, as shown on balance sheets, and trigger a cascade of unnecessary financial losses.[179]
    • December 6: President Bush announces a plan to voluntarily and temporarily freeze the mortgages of a limited number of mortgage debtors holding adjustable rate mortgages (ARM). He also asked Members Of Congress to: 1. pass legislation to modernize the FHA. 2. temporarily reform the tax code to help homeowners refinance during this time of housing market stress. 3. pass funding to support mortgage counseling. 4. pass legislation to reform Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) like Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.[180]
    • December 24: A consortium of banks officially abandons the U.S. government-supported "super-SIV" mortgage crisis bail-out plan announced in mid-October,[181] citing a lack of demand for the risky mortgage products on which the plan was based, and widespread criticism that the fund was a flawed idea that would have been difficult to execute.[181]

2008Edit

2008 in generalEdit

The monoline insurance companies (AMBAC, MBIA, ACA, &c) have written vast quantities of insurance against the failure of CDO tranches. Those tranches now begin to fail by the hundreds. The credit ratings agencies downgrade the monolines from AAA, but the monolines have a unique business model. If they don't have a AAA rating, then their main line of business (municipal bond insurance for city infrastructure projects) becomes impossible for them to perform. By 2009, the monolines have all crashed.[111][182][183][184][185][186]

January 2008 to August 2008Edit

The New York City headquarters of Lehman Brothers.

Financial crisis escalates with collapse of major lenders and investors.

September 2008Edit

October 2008Edit

    • October 1: The U.S. Senate passes HR1424, their version of the $700 billion bailout bill.[213]
    • October 1: The financial crisis spreads to Europe.[214][215]
    • October 3: President George W. Bush signs the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, creating a $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program to purchase failing bank assets.[216] It contains easing of the accounting rules that forced companies to collapse because of the existence of toxic mortgage-related investments.[217] Also key to winning GOP support was a decision by the Securities and Exchange Commission to ease mark-to-market accounting rules that require financial institutions to show the deflated value of assets on their balance sheets."[178][218]
    • October 3: Using tax law change made September 30, Wells makes a higher offer for Wachovia, scooping it from Citigroup[219]
    • October 6–10: Worst week for the stock market in 75 years. The Dow Jones loses 22.1 percent, its worst week on record, down 40.3 percent since reaching a record high of 14,164.53 October 9, 2007. The Standard & Poor's 500 index loses 18.2 percent, its worst week since 1933, down 42.5 percent in since its own high October 9, 2007.[220]
    • October 6: Fed announces that it will provide $900 billion in short-term cash loans to banks.[221]
    • October 7: Fed makes emergency move to lend around $1.3 trillion directly to companies outside the financial sector.[222]
    • October 7: The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) relaxes rules on US corporations repatriating money held oversees in an attempt to inject liquidity into the US financial market. The new ruling allows the companies to receive loans from their foreign subsidiaries for longer periods and more times a year without triggering the 35% corporate income tax.[87]
    • October 8: Central banks in USA (Fed), England, China, Canada, Sweden, Switzerland and the European Central Bank cut rates in a coordinated effort to aid world economy.[223]
    • October 8: Fed also reduces its emergency lending rate to banks by half a percentage point, to 1.75 percent.[224]
    • October 8: White House considers taking ownership stakes in private banks as a part of the bailout bill.[225] Warren Buffett and George Soros criticized the original approach of the bailout bill.[226][227]
    • October 11: The Dow Jones Industrial Average caps its worst week ever with its highest volatility day ever recorded in its 112 year history. Over the last eight trading days, the DJIA has dropped 22% amid worries of worsening credit crisis and global recession. Paper losses now on US stocks now total $8.4 trillion from the market highs of the previous year.[87]
    • October 11: The G7, a group of central bankers and finance ministers from the Group of Seven leading economies, meet in Washington and agree to urgent and exceptional coordinated action to prevent the credit crisis from throwing the world into depression. The G7 did not agree on the concrete plan that was hoped for.[87]
    • October 14: The US taps into the $700 billion available from the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act and announces the injection of $250 billion of public money into the US banking system. The form of the rescue will include the US government taking an equity position in banks that choose to participate in the program in exchange for certain restrictions such as executive compensation. Nine banks agreed to participate in the program and will receive half of the total funds: 1) Bank of America, 2) JPMorgan Chase, 3) Wells Fargo, 4) Citigroup, 5) Merrill Lynch, 6) Goldman Sachs, 7) Morgan Stanley, 8) Bank of New York Mellon and 9) State Street. Other US financial institutions eligible for the plan have until November 14 to agree to the terms.[87]
    • October 21: The US Federal Reserve announces that it will spend $540 billion to purchase short-term debt from money market mutual funds. The large amount of redemption requests during the credit crisis have caused the money market funds to scale back lending to banks contributing to the credit freeze on interbank lending markets. This government is hoping the injection will help unfreeze the credit markets making it easier for businesses and banks to obtain loans. The structure of the plan involves the Fed setting up four special purpose vehicles that will purchase the assets.[87]

November 2008Edit

    • November 4: Federal Reserve loans $133 billion through various credit facilities, 39% of which goes to two foreign institutions-German Irish Bank Depfa and Dexia Credit of Belgium.[165]
    • November 12: Treasury Secretary Paulson abandons plan to buy toxic assets under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Mr. Paulson said the remaining $410 billion in the fund would be better spent on recapitalizing financial companies.[87]
    • November 15: The group of 20 of the world’s largest economies meets in Washington DC and releases a statement of the meeting. Although no detailed plans were agreed upon, the meeting focused on implementing policies consistent with five principles: strengthening transparency and accountability, improving regulation, promoting market integrity, reinforcing cooperation and reforming international institutions.[87]
    • November 17: The Treasury gives out $33.6 billion to 21 banks in the second round of disbursements from the $700 billion bailout fund. This payout brings the total to $158.56 billion so far.[228]
    • November 24: The US government agrees to rescue Citigroup after an attack by investors causes the stock price to plummet 60% over the last week under a detailed plan that including injecting another $20 billion of capital into Citigroup bringing the total infusion to $45 billion.[228]
    • November 25: The US Federal Reserve pledges $800 billion more to help revive the financial system. $600 billion will be used to buy mortgage bonds issued or guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan Banks.[228]
    • November 28: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the global organization behind the Basel Accord, issues a consultative paper providing supervisory guidance on the valuation of assets. The paper provides ten principles that should be used by banks to value assets at fair market value.[228]

December 2008Edit

2009Edit

2010Edit

  • April 16: The Securities and Exchange Commission sues Goldman Sachs for fraud, for allegedly having failed to disclose vital information to investors in one of its "Abacus" mortgage-backed CDOs in 2007. The CDO was allegedly 'designed to fail' by the hedge fund of John Paulson, so that Paulson could make large profits by betting against it. Allegedly this was not disclosed to investors by Goldman, and they lost roughly a billion dollars, while Paulson & Co profited.[229][230]
  • October: A foreclosures crisis occurs due to many foreclosures being carried out even without the necessary paper-work being in place, instead relying on "robo-signing" of the legal documents. Many demand that all foreclosures be halted nation-wide until the systemic issues of extrajudicial practices have come under control.

2011Edit

January

The U.S. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission reported its findings in January 2011. It concluded that "the crisis was avoidable and was caused by: Widespread failures in financial regulation, including the Federal Reserve’s failure to stem the tide of toxic mortgages; Dramatic breakdowns in corporate governance including too many financial firms acting recklessly and taking on too much risk; An explosive mix of excessive borrowing and risk by households and Wall Street that put the financial system on a collision course with crisis; Key policy makers ill prepared for the crisis, lacking a full understanding of the financial system they oversaw; and systemic breaches in accountability and ethics at all levels.“[231]

April

The US Senate Permanent Committee on Investigations releases the Levin-Coburn report, "Wall Street and the Financial Crisis: Anatomy of a Financial Collapse". It presents new details about the activities of Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Moody's, and other companies preceding the financial crisis.

Former NY Governor Eliot Spitzer says that if the Attorney General cannot bring a case against Goldman Sachs, after the revelations of the Levin-Coburn report, then he should resign.[232]

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 6
  2. ^ McClean, Nocera, p23
  3. ^ McClean, Nocera, p22
  4. ^ McClean, Nocera, p7
  5. ^ a b McClean, Nocera, Chapter 1
  6. ^ See also On The Brink by Henry Paulson
  7. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 7
  8. ^ History of Freddie Mac.
  9. ^ "Asset Securitization Comptroller's Handbook". US Comptroller of the Currency Administrator of National Banks. November 1997. 
  10. ^ Regulation B, Equal Credit Opportunity 12 CFR 202.14(b) as stated in Closing the Gap: A Guide to Equal Opportunity Lending, Federal Reserve System of Boston.
  11. ^ Text of Housing and Community Development Act of 1977—title Viii (Community Reinvestment).
  12. ^ "Community Reinvestment Act". Federal Reserve. Retrieved 2008-10-05. 
  13. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 12
  14. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 5
  15. ^ Liar's Poker, Michael Lewis
  16. ^ The Effect of Consumer Interest Rate Deregulation on Credit Card Volumes, Charge-Offs, and the Personal Bankruptcy Rate, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation "Bank Trends" Newsletter, March, 1998.
  17. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 29
  18. ^ "The Community Reinvestment Act". Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Retrieved 2008-10-06. [dead link]
  19. ^ "Community Reinvestment Act: Background & Purpose". FFIEC. Retrieved 2008-10-06. 
  20. ^ a b c d e Lewis, Michael (2010). The Big Short. W.W. Norton Company Limited. ISBN 978-0-393-07223-5. 
  21. ^ a b c d "Subprime Markets, the Role of GSEs, and Risk-Based Pricing". 
  22. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 13
  23. ^ McClean, Nocera, 13-14
  24. ^ Z.1 Historical Tables (1974) and current Z.1 release (2008), Table B.100, lines 31,48.
  25. ^ McClean, Nocera, 16
  26. ^ McClean, Nocera, 17
  27. ^ Norman Strunk, Fred Case (1988). Where deregulation went wrong:a look at the causes behind savings and loan failures in the 1980s. Chicago: United States League of Savings Institutions. pp. 15–16. ISBN 9780929097329. OCLC 18220698. 
  28. ^ research.stlouisfed.org
  29. ^ fdic.gov
  30. ^ fdic.gov
  31. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 18
  32. ^ a b McClean, Nocera, p 31
  33. ^ Timothy Curry and Lynn Shibut, The Cost of the Savings and Loan Crisis: Truth and Consequences Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, December 2000.
  34. ^ McClean, Nocera, p36, 87
  35. ^ McClean, Nocera, Chapter 4
  36. ^ Fool's Gold, Gillian Tett
  37. ^ McClean, Nocera, p41
  38. ^ Ben S. Bernanke, Chair of Federal Reserve System, The Community Reinvestment Act: Its Evolution and New Challenges, speech at the Community Affairs Research Conference, Washington, D.C., Federal Reserve System website, March 30, 2007.
  39. ^ a b c Leonnig, Carol D. (June 10, 2008). "How HUD Mortgage Policy Fed The Crisis". Washington Post. p. A1. 
  40. ^ McClean, Nocera p40-45
  41. ^ Michael Flynn, Anatomy of a Breakdown; Concerted government policy helped trigger the financial meltdown—and will almost certainly extend it, Reason magazine magazine, January 2009.
  42. ^ Closing the Gap: A Guide to Equal Opportunity Lending, Federal Reserve System of Boston, 1993.
  43. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 62
  44. ^ Fool's Gold, Gillian Tett
  45. ^ Sandra F. Braunstein, Director, Division of Consumer and Community Affairs, The Community Reinvestment Act, Testimony Before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives, 13 February 2008.
  46. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 32
  47. ^ a b "(untitled)" (Press release). Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council. 2004-07-26. Retrieved 2008-03-18. 
  48. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 78
  49. ^ Fool's Gold, by Gillian Tett
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  52. ^ Fannie Mae increases CRA options, American Bankers Association Banking Journal, November 2000.
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  54. ^ Robert J. Shiller. "Understanding Recent Trends in House Prices and Home Ownership". 
  55. ^ Thomas J. McCool, Responses to Questions Concerning Long-Term Capital Management and Related Events, Government Accountability Office, February 23, 2000.
  56. ^ The Warning: Brooksley Born's Battle With Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin And Larry Summers by John Carney Oct. 21, 2009 businessinsider.com. This is a summary of the PBS Frontline documentary The Warning, featuring Brooksley Born.
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  61. ^ Bloomberg-Credit Swap Disclosure Obscures True Financial Risk
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  63. ^ McClean, Nocera, p 87
  64. ^ Fannie Mae Announces Pilot to Purchase $2 Billion of "MyCommunityMortgage" Loans; Pilot Lenders to Customize Affordable Products For Low- and Moderate-Income Borrowers, Corporate Responsibility News, October 30, 2000.
  65. ^ Fannie Mae "MyCommunityMortgage" homepage.
  66. ^ Fannie Mae's Targeted Community Reinvestment Act Loan Volume Passes $10 Billion Mark; Expanded Purchasing Efforts Help Lenders Meet Both Market Needs and CRA Goals, Business Wire, May 7, 2001.
  67. ^ a b Barry L. Ritzholtz, A Memo Found in the Street, Barron's Magazine, September 29, 2008.
  68. ^ H.R.5660 - Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 (Introduced in House)
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  72. ^ Wiles, Russ (September 16, 2008). "The housing crisis: How we got here". Arizona Republic. 
  73. ^ A Home Without Equity is just a Rental with Debt, 2001, John Posner, SSRN
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  76. ^ Norris, Floyd (July 20, 2007). "Market Shock: AAA Rating May Be Junk - The New York Times". Retrieved 2009-03-24. [dead link]
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  82. ^ "Speculative flipping". 
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  84. ^ The Price of Loyalty, Ron Suskind
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  100. ^ Emails Show How Greg Lippmann Built Deutsche Bank's $5 Billion Subprime Short: "Duping CDO Fools" Courtney Comstock, businessinsider.com
  101. ^ Did Authorities Miss a Chance To Ease the Credit Crunch? by Michael Siconolfi. The Wall Street Journal Online, Dec 11, 2007 (via realestatejournal.com)
  102. ^ Challenging the Crowd in Whispers, Not Shouts, Robert J Shiller, New York Times, 2008 Nov 1. As mentioned in Econned, by Yves Smith
  103. ^ Kirchhoff, Sue (January 12, 2005). "Subprime lending criticized". USA Today. Retrieved May 24, 2010. 
  104. ^ Press release and letter released by a contingent of "House Democrats", April 13, 2005.
  105. ^ a b Colossal Failure of Common Sense, Larry McDonald, Patrick Robinson
  106. ^ Yves Smith argues that the ISDA June 2005 decision worsened the credit crisis.... for example, hedge funds now had a huge incentive to help create more bad mortgages, so that they could bet against them (with CDSes) and make money when they failed. (See Yves Smith (2010). Econned. Palgrave MacMillan. ISBN 978-0-230-62051-3.  page 263 & elsewhere). For the ISDA press release from 2005, please see: SDA Publishes Template for Credit Default Swaps on Asset-Backed Securities, International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Jun 13 2005, accessed 2010 4 21. There is also an interesting article about the American Securitization Forum on Feb 6 2006, by Allison Pyburn,in the Asset Securitization Report. "The ABS CDS market was jump-started in June 2005, when the International Swaps and Derivatives Association released standard documentation for pay-as-you-go and cash settlement procedures. An army of investors swooped into the single name swap market, enticed by the opportunity to take a short position on the subprime housing sector."
  107. ^ Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party , Justin Lahart, Wall Street Journal, 2009 1 2. Accessed 2010 4 18. As mentioned in Econned by Yves Smith.
  108. ^ Ignoring the Oracles: You Are With the Free Markets, or Against Them, Justin Lahart, Wall Street Journal blog, 2009 1 1, accessed 2010 4 18. as mentioned in Econned by Yves Smith
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  117. ^ Dr. Doom, Stephen Mihm, New York Times, 2008 Aug 15.
  118. ^ NY Times
  119. ^ "S&P/Case-Shiller house price index". 
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  122. ^ Devil's Casino, Vicky Ward
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  130. ^ Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, GSE Portfolios, Systemic Risk, and Affordable Housing, Speech before the Independent Community Bankers of America's Annual Convention and Techworld, Honolulu, Hawaii (via satellite), March 6, 2007.
  131. ^ a b New Century files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, selling its assets for $139 million, subject to bankruptcy approval.CNN Money, April 3, 2007.
  132. ^ Freddie Mac pays record $3.8 million fine, Settles allegations it made illegal contributions between 2000 and 2003, Associated Press, April. 18, 2006.
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  138. ^ Shelia Bair Remarks, 2007 Risk Management and Allocation Conference, Paris, France, June 25, 2007.
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  141. ^ mitsloan.mit.edu
  142. ^ MGIC May Abandon Radian, Forbes, 2007-08-10
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  146. ^ "BNP Paribas Investment Partners temporarily suspends the calculation of the Net Asset Value of the following funds : Parvest Dynamic ABS, BNP Paribas ABS EURIBOR and BNP Paribas ABS EONIA". BNP Paribas. August 9, 2007. 
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  153. ^ Stempel, Jonathan (August 15, 2007). "Countrywide plunges on downgrade, bankruptcy fear". Reuters. 
  154. ^ Countrywide Taps $11.5 Billion Credit Line From Banks
  155. ^ Crutsinger, Martin (August 17, 2007). "Fed Approves Cut in Loan Discount Rate". AP. 
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  159. ^ euractiv.com
  160. ^ “The examples we have of past cycles indicate that major declines in real home prices—even 50 percent declines in some places—are entirely possible going forward from today or from the not too distant future.” "Two top US economists present scary scenarios for US economy; House prices in some areas may fall as much as 50% - Housing contraction threatens a broader recession". Finfacts Ireland. 3 September 2007. 
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  165. ^ a b NYT-Gretchen Morgenson-The Bank Run We Knew So Little About-April 2011
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  182. ^ 'Monoline' insurers at risk of losing AAA credit rating, By Stephen Foley, 2008 Jan 18. The Independent (UK)
  183. ^ Ambac Bailout May Cause Crisis, Axel Merk, Feb 27, 2008 safehaven.com
  184. ^ MBIA AMBAC timeline WSJ Marketbeat, 2008 2 4, By David Gaffen
  185. ^ Kamakura Blog: Observations on the Monoline Meltdown 3/4/2010, Bob Selvaggio , Donald van Deventer. (this article has many opinions but also a good factual description of the monoline situation)
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  192. ^ UBS to cut 5,500 jobs next year, Business Standard
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  215. ^ Though Europe's officials appeared to be paying lip service to the need for working together, they continued to make key announcements on deposits on a go-it-alone basis."Europe governments go their own way on crisis". Associated Press. 2008-10-06. 
  216. ^ Bush signs $700 billion bailout bill, National Public Radio, October 3, 2008
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  226. ^ "Warren reiterates support for the bailout, but also reiterates--half a dozen times--that it is only a good deal for the taxpayer if the government buys the trash assets for market prices." "There's no way a smart person can go broke expect through borrowed money. All borrowed money does is, it may help you get it a little faster, but it can help you get poorer a whole lot faster.""Warren Buffett: We Have "Terrible, Terrible Problems"". Clusterstock. 2008-10-01. 
  227. ^ "In a twist, the billionaire financier George Soros, who in 1992 was called 'the man who broke the Bank of England,' for his multibillion-dollar bet against the British pound, could in 2008 end up helping the ailing British banking system get back on its feet with his ideas. And the United States Treasury may now be receptive to those ideas as well.""From George Soros to a Bank Near You". The New York Times. 2008-10-09. 
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  229. ^ SEC Charges Goldman Sachs With Fraud in Structuring and Marketing of CDO Tied to Subprime Mortgages April 16, 2010, US Securities and Exchange Commission
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Further readingEdit

External linksEdit