|2001 election • MPs|
|2005 election • MPs|
|2010 election • MPs|
The United Kingdom General Election of 2015 will be the election to the 56th Parliament of the United Kingdom. The terms of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 mandate dissolution of the parliament on 30 March 2015 and that the election will be held on 7 May 2015, unless Parliament itself orders an earlier date. There are local elections scheduled to take place on the same day across most of England, with the notable exception of London. There are no additional elections scheduled to take place in Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland, apart from any forthcoming local by-elections.
In the general election, voting will take place in all parliamentary constituencies of the United Kingdom to elect Members of Parliament (MPs) to seats in the House of Commons, the lower house of the Parliament.
This will be the 55th general election for the United Kingdom since 1801 (earlier elections took place for parliaments in Great Britain and Ireland), though the resultant Parliament will be the 56th, as the first Parliament came about after the co-option of members from the Parliament of Great Britain and the Parliament of Ireland.
Although the government initially planned the number of parliamentary seats to be reduced from 650 to 600, through the Sixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies under the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011, this change was dropped during the Bill's passage through Parliament. The next boundary review is now set to take place in 2018 meaning that the next general election must be contested using the same constituencies and boundaries as in 2010.
In addition, the Act mandated a referendum in 2011 on changing from the current 'first past the post' system system to an Alternative Vote system for elections to the Commons. The Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition agreement committed the coalition government to such a referendum. The referendum was held in May 2011 and resulted in the retention of the existing voting system.
Before the previous general election the Liberal Democrats had pledged to change the voting system, and the Labour Party pledged to have a referendum about any such change. The Conservatives, however, promised to keep the first past the post system, but to reduce the number of constituencies by 10%. Liberal Democrat plans were to reduce the number of MPs to 500 elected using a proportional system.
Each parliamentary constituency of the United Kingdom elects one MP to the House of Commons using the 'first past the post' system. If one party were to obtain a majority of seats, then that party would be entitled to form the Government. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a coalition government or a minority government.
If Scotland votes to leave the United Kingdom in the independence referendum on 18 September 2014, it is expected that a 2015 General Election would still include Scotland, but the status and role of MPs elected in Scotland would be unclear. There are 59 Scottish MPs, so if the election does not take place in Scotland, or if the Scottish MPs do not take their seats, the number of seats would reduce from 650 to 591.
Date of the electionEdit
An election is called following the dissolution of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. The power to dissolve Parliament has been a Royal Prerogative, exercised by the Queen on the advice of the Prime Minister. The Sovereign has not refused a request for dissolution since the beginning of the 20th century; the guidelines under which this might theoretically occur are known as the Lascelles Principles after the King's private secretary who set them out. As a result, incumbent Prime Ministers have often chosen to call a general election at a time when they believed they enjoyed a temporary tactical advantage.
Under the provisions of the Septennial Act 1715, as amended by the Parliament Act 1911, an election had to be announced on or before the fifth anniversary of the beginning of the previous parliament, barring exceptional circumstances. Since the enactment of the 1715 Act, Parliament has never been allowed to expire. The previous general election, held on 6 May 2010, elected MPs to the 55th Parliament which began on 18 May 2010; thus this Parliament would expire on 17 May 2015. Since the last day that a proclamation summoning a new Parliament could be issued is this day of expiration, the election timetable dictated that the latest possible date for the election was 11 June 2015.
Occasionally, a constituency is forced to delay its polling day. In each of the two preceding general elections, one constituency delayed its poll due to the death of a candidate.
Fixed-term Parliaments ActEdit
Prior to the 2010 general election, the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats pledged to introduce fixed-term elections. As part of the Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition agreement, the Cameron ministry agreed to support legislation for fixed-term Parliaments, with the date of the next general election being 7 May 2015. This would have coincided with elections for the Scottish Parliament, National Assembly for Wales and Northern Ireland Assembly, which are held on a four-year, fixed-term basis. In response to cross-party criticism of this, Nick Clegg offered each devolved body the right to vary their length of tenure by a year in either direction. Therefore, the next elections to the Scottish Parliament and National Assembly for Wales will take place in 2016.
The Act removed the Royal Prerogative to dissolve Parliament. As a result, a Prime Minister no longer has the power to advise the monarch to call an early election. The Bill originally only permitted early dissolution if Parliament voted for one by a supermajority of 55%. A government could still lose a vote of no confidence by a majority of over just over 50%, requiring it to resign. Later, the Government amended the Bill to increase the required supermajority to two-thirds, as applies to the Scottish Parliament and the Welsh Assembly. When doing so, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg clarified that Parliament would be dissolved if no new government could be formed within 14 days of a no-confidence vote. The Bill was enacted in this amended form.
SNP MP Angus Robertson has suggested that politicians in the remainder of the UK should consider delaying the 2015 election by a year if Scotland votes for independence on 18 September 2014. Robertson argues that holding an election during the independence negotiations would be a diversion.
MPs standing downEdit
- James Arbuthnot (North East Hampshire), announced 6 June 2011
- Gregory Barker (Bexhill and Battle), announced 14 July 2014
- Brian Binley (Northampton South), announced 22 July 2013
- Aidan Burley (Cannock Chase), announced 5 February 2014
- Dan Byles (North Warwickshire), announced 20 July 2014
- James Clappison (Hertsmere) - announced 3 July 2014
- Jonathan Evans (Cardiff North), announced 17 January 2013
- Lorraine Fullbrook (South Ribble), announced 14 September 2013
- William Hague (Richmond (Yorks)), announced 14 July 2014
- Charles Hendry (Wealden), announced 1 March 2013
- Andrew Lansley (South Cambridgeshire), announced 15 July 2014
- Jessica Lee (Erewash), announced 20 January 2014
- Sir Peter Luff (Mid Worcestershire), announced 5 September 2012
- Sir Richard Ottaway (Croydon South), announced 28 May 2012
- Sir Jim Paice (South East Cambridgeshire), announced 8 March 2013 
- Sir John Randall (Uxbridge and South Ruislip), announced 10 July 2014 
- Laura Sandys (South Thanet) - announced 25 November 2013
- Sir John Stanley (Tonbridge and Malling), announced 23 March 2012
- Sir Peter Tapsell (Louth and Horncastle) - announced 21 March 2014
- Tim Yeo (South Suffolk) - announced 3 February 2014 (deselected)
- Sir George Young (North West Hampshire) - announced 29 November 2013
- Mike Weatherley (Hove) - announced 3 July 2014
- David Willetts (Havant) - announced 14 July 2014
- Bob Ainsworth (Coventry North East), announced 7 December 2012.
- Joe Benton (Bootle), announced 12 June 2014.
- Hazel Blears (Salford and Eccles), announced 20 February 2014.
- David Blunkett (Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough), announced 21 June 2014
- Martin Caton (Gower), announced 11 March 2012.
- Ann Clwyd (Cynon Valley) - announced 3 February 2014
- Sir Tony Cunningham (Workington) - announced 28 June 2014
- John Denham (Southampton Itchen), announced 7 October 2011
- Frank Doran (Aberdeen North), announced 19 October 2013
- Frank Dobson (Holborn and St Pancras) - announced 18 July 2014
- Hywel Francis (Aberavon) - announced 22 November 2013
- Peter Hain (Neath) - announced 6 June 2014
- David Heyes (Ashton-under-Lyne), announced 1 March 2014
- Glenda Jackson (Hampstead and Kilburn), announced 23 June 2011
- Siân James (Swansea East) (announced 25 February 2014)
- Dame Tessa Jowell (Dulwich and West Norwood), announced 21 November 2013
- Anne McGuire (Stirling) announced 14 January 2014
- Andrew Miller (Ellesmere Port and Neston), announced 10 December 2013
- Austin Mitchell (Great Grimsby), announced 16 April 2014
- George Mudie (Leeds East), announced 4 October 2013
- Meg Munn (Sheffield Heeley). announced 25 January 2014
- Dame Dawn Primarolo (Bristol South), announced 10 November 2011
- Nick Raynsford (Greenwich and Woolwich), announced 22 March 2013
- Lindsay Roy (Glenrothes), announced 6 November 2013
- Dame Joan Ruddock (Lewisham Deptford), announced 12 January 2013
- Jack Straw (Blackburn), announced 25 October 2013 
- Gerry Sutcliffe (Bradford South), announced 26 May 2013
- Joan Walley (Stoke-on-Trent North), announced 15 November 2013 
- Mike Wood (Batley and Spen), announced 28 February 2014
- Shaun Woodward (St Helens South and Whiston), announced 7 November 2013
- Sir Alan Beith (Berwick-upon-Tweed), announced 7 August 2013
- Annette Brooke (Mid Dorset and North Poole), announced 5 March 2013
- Sir Malcolm Bruce (Gordon), announced 9 October 2013
- Sir Menzies Campbell (North East Fife), announced 9 October 2013
- Don Foster (Bath), announced 8 January 2014 
- David Heath (Somerton and Frome), announced 11 October 2013
- Sir Andrew Stunell (Hazel Grove), announced on 29 September 2013
- Ian Swales (Redcar), announced 11 July 2014
- Sarah Teather (Brent Central), announced 7 September 2013
As of 17 September 2010[update], the Electoral Commission's Register of Political Parties includes 392 different political parties registered in Great Britain, and 43 in Northern Ireland. In addition, candidates who do not belong to a registered party can use "independent" or no label at all.
Likely or potential target seatsEdit
The Sixth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies has been postponed until 2018, under the terms of the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013. which means the next election will be held without new boundaries being agreed. It will use the same boundaries as the previous election (2010).
In January 2013, Labour published its list of 106 target seats for the next election.
Listed below are some of the top target seats for those parties which won seats at the 2005 or 2010 general elections, ranked by the percentage swing required. These may not be the seats where parties choose to target their resources. Opinion polling in individual constituencies is also another indicator for possible target seats.
|SNP targets||Swing required||Plaid Cymru targets||Swing required|
|1||Ochil & Perthshire South (LAB)||5.14%||Ynys Môn (LAB)||3.55%|
|Green Party targets||Swing required||Respect targets||Swing required|
|1||Norwich South (LD)||7.20%||Birmingham Hall Green (LAB)||3.9%|
|Sinn Féin targets||Swing required||SDLP targets||Swing required||DUP targets||Swing required||Alliance targets||Swing required|
|1||Belfast North (DUP)||3.01%||Newry and Armagh (SF)||9.3%||Belfast East (A)||2.22%||Belfast South (SDLP)||15.00%|
The first series of televised leaders debates in the United Kingdom were held in the previous election. Comments from senior politicians such as Prime Minister David Cameron have made it clear that they intend to hold another series of televised debates in the run up to the 2015 election, although they will likely take on a different format, as David Cameron felt that they dominated the campaign. It has been proposed that the debates could start as early as 2014, presumably after the parliamentary summer recess as not to have an impact on the elections to the European Parliament. It has also been suggested that the debates could still take place in 2015 before the election campaign begins over the longer period of January, February and March. David Cameron has suggested that the televised debates should take place before the campaign itself, as he felt that the 2010 debates overshadowed the rest of the campaign; he was, however, still positive towards them taking place.
There is media speculation from individuals such as Michael Crick of Channel 4 News as to who may be included in the debates. He suggested that if UKIP's political fortunes were to continue to improve, and they do not receive sufficient coverage, they could make a legal case against broadcasters that under-represent the party, if the leaders of the Conservative Party, Labour Party and Liberal Democrats are included. Prime Minister David Cameron has dismissed the call for UKIP's participation. The Leader of the Opposition Ed Miliband said in January 2013 that the composition of each debate was a matter for the media organisations.
In the run up to the European Parliament election, 2014, there was a series of two debates between the leader of the Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg and the UK Independence Party leader, Nigel Farage. According to polling, Mr Farage is reported to have comfortably won both debates and this has prompted further speculation that Farage could or should be invited to take part in the debates ahead of the General Election. UKIP won the European elections, topping the poll. This could now further strengthen Farage's case and increase calls for UKIP to be represented in such TV debates.
The Green Party of England and Wales has also requested to take part in the debates, citing the fact that they have an MP, Caroline Lucas, (unlike the UK Independence Party), 3 members of the European Parliament, many Councillors across the country (including being the largest party in Brighton and Hove), and polled third in the 2012 London Mayoral Election. Following the 2014 European Parliament election, they have also called for increased media coverage of the party in general, claiming that the fact they now poll at the same level or higher than the Liberal Democrats, and are the official opposition on a number of councils, provides a strong case for equal coverage.
The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to the date the next election is held, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: blue for the Conservatives, red for Labour, yellow for the Liberal Democrats and purple for the UKIP. Each dot represents a party's results in opinion polls, the lines are then created by an eight-data-point moving average.
- As compared to the 2010 General Election result, not the 2011 by-election result
- Electoral Calculus, prediction of future general election results using mathematical modelling
- European Parliament election, 2014 (United Kingdom)
- "Peers end deadlock over fixed term parliaments". BBC News Online. 14 September 2011.
- "General election timetable 2015". Parliament.uk. Retrieved 30 June 2014.
- "Full text: Conservative-LibDem deal". BBC News. 12 May 2010. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- "Where They Stand: Guide to party election policies". BBC News. 26 March 2010.
- "How Strong is the Case for Reducing the Number of MPs?" (PDF). Democratic Audit. Retrieved 7 September 2013.
- "Q&A - Boundary Changes". BBC News. 29 January 2013. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- Kettle, Martin (16 July 2008). "Why the Scottish referendum date matters". London: The Guardian. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- "Research Paper 07/31: Election Timetables". House of Commons Library.
- "Thirsk and Malton candidate death delays poll date". BBC News. 22 April 2010.
- "Full text of the Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition deal". The Guardian (London). 12 May 2010. Retrieved 12 May 2010.
- "House of Commons Debate 5 July 2010 c 23". http://www.parliament.uk/. 5 July 2010. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "Angus Robertson calls for delay to UK election - Politics / News / The Courier". Thecourier.co.uk. Retrieved 25 January 2014.
- "Tory MP James Arbuthnot to step down for 'new challenge'". BBC News Online. 6 June 2011.
- http://www.bexhillobserver.net/news/local/mp-barker-quits-government-role-and-will-not-stand-for-re-election-1-6178119. Missing or empty
- "Northampton MP Brian Binley to stand down". Northampton Chronicle and Echo. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "BBC News - Nazi stag-do Tory MP Aidan Burley to step down". Bbc.co.uk. 5 February 2014. Retrieved 20 February 2014.
- "Cardiff North Conservative MP Jonathan Evans to step down". BBC News Online. 17 January 2013.
- "LORRAINE FULLBROOK WILL STAND DOWN IN MAY 2015". south ribble conservatives. Retrieved 14 September 2013.
- Hendry, Charles (1 March 2013). "Letter from Charles Hendry MP". Retrieved 1 March 2013.
- "Statement by Jessica Lee MP". Jessica Lee, Member of Parliament for Erewash. 20 January 2014.
- "Ex-minister Peter Luff to leave Parliament at next election". BBC News Online. 5 September 2012.
- "Conservative MP Richard Ottaway to step down at election". BBC News Online. 27 October 2012.
- "Cambridgeshire MP Sir Jim Paice 'will not stand again'". BBC News Online. 8 March 2013.
- "Uxbridge and South Ruislip MP John Randall steps down". Get West London. 10 July 2014.
- "Laura Sandys MP to stand down in 2015". Laura Sandys Personal Web Site.
- "Sir John Stanley MP announces his retirement". ConservativeHome. 24 March 2012.
- "MP Sir Peter Tapsell to stand down in 2015". BBC News. 21 March 2014.
- "BBC News - Conservative MP Tim Yeo loses deselection vote". Bbc.co.uk. 3 February 2014. Retrieved 20 February 2014.
- "Sir George Young To Step Down in 2015". AndoverTimes.
- "Bob Ainsworth to step down as Coventry North East MP". BBC News (BBC). 7 December 2012. Retrieved 7 December 2012.
- "BBC News - Joe Benton to step down as Labour MP for Bootle". Bbc.co.uk. 2014-06-12. Retrieved 2014-06-16.
- "Ex-Cabinet minister Hazel Blears to step down as an MP - ITV News". Itv.com. Retrieved 20 February 2014.
- Press Release Personal website
- "Gower MP Martin Caton is ready to stand down". This Is South Wales. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "BBC News - Cynon Valley MP Ann Clwyd to stand down at election". Bbc.co.uk. 3 February 2014. Retrieved 20 February 2014.
- "Denham to stand down as MP". Southern Daily Echo. 7 October 2011.
- "Aberdeen MP Doran to stand down". Herald Scotland.
- "Hywel Francis AS Aberafan yn sefyll i lawr yn 2015" (in welsh). BBC Newyddion.
- "BBC News - Peter Hain to stand down as an MP at next election". Bbc.co.uk. 2014-06-06. Retrieved 2014-06-16.
- "Ashton-under-Lyne Labour MP David Heyes to stand down". BBC News. 1 March 2014.
- Graham, Georgia (23 June 2011). "Glenda Jackson won’t stand in next election". Ham & High.
- Swansea East MP Sian James to stand down at next election BBC News
- "Labor's Tessa Jowell to stand down as MP". BBC News (BBC). 21 November 2013. Retrieved 21 November 2013.
- "Torcuil Crichton Twitter feed - retweeted by Anne McGuire". Twitter.
- "Andrew Miller to stand down as MP for Ellesmere Port and Neston in 2015". BBC News. 10 December 2013. Retrieved 10 December 2013.
- "Veteran Labour MP Austin Mitchell to step down". BBC News. 16 April 2014. Retrieved 16 April 2014.
- "Leeds MP to step down". Yorkshire Evening Post. Retrieved 5 October 2013.
- "Sheffield MP says she will step down at election". Yorkshire Post.
- "Bristol South MP Dawn Primarolo to stand down". BBC News online. 11 November 2011.
- "Labour MP Nick Raynsford to stand down at next election". BBC News. 21 March 2013. Retrieved 22 March 2013.
- "MP Roy to quit Westminster". http://www.heraldscotland.com. Retrieved 6 November 2013.
- Chandler, Mark. "Lewisham Deptford MP Joan Ruddock to stand down at next election". News Shopper. Retrieved 12/01/1203.
- "BBC News - Jack Straw to step down as Labour MP for Blackburn". Bbc.co.uk. 25 October 2013. Retrieved 25 October 2013.
- "Stoke-on-Trent North Labour MP Joan Walley to stand down". Bbc.co.uk. 15 November 2013. Retrieved 16 November 2013.
- "MP Mike Wood to stand down at next election". Batley and Birstall News. Retrieved 28 February 2014.
- "BREAKING NEWS: Shaun Woodward to stand down as MP". St Helens Reporter. Retrieved 25 January 2014.
- "Berwick MP Sir Alan Beith stands down". The Journal. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- Brook, Annette. "March 2013 - Reporting Back". Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "MP Sir Malcolm to quit ‘while I still enjoy job’". Press & Journal. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "Sir Menzies Campbell to stand down as MP in 2015". BBC. 9 October 2013. Retrieved 9 October 2013.
- "Don Foster MP to stand down". Liberal Democrat Voice.
- "David Heath MP to step down at general election". BBC News. 11 October 2013. Retrieved 12 October 2013.
- "Hazel Grove MP Andrew Stunell to step down at next general election"". Retrieved 4 October 2013.
- "Redcar MP Ian Swales to stand down for 'personal reasons'". 11 July 2014. Retrieved 11 July 2014.
- "Sarah Teather to stand down as Lib Dem MP at 2015 election". BBC. 8 September 2013. Retrieved 8 September 2013.
- "Dwyfor Meirionnydd MP Elfyn Llwyd to step down". BBC News. 18 October 2013. Retrieved 25 January 2014.
- Musson, Chris; Crichton, Torcuil; Lyons, James (2 March 2012). "Shamed MP Eric Joyce admits affair with schoolgirl but won't quit Parliament until next election". Daily Record.
- "Party Finance - the Electoral Commission". Electoral Commission. 16 September 2010. Retrieved 17 September 2010.
- "Register of political parties (Northern Ireland)". Electoral Commission. 16 September 2010. Retrieved 16 September 2010.
- "Closure of 2013 Review". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
- "Sixth Periodic Review - Index". Boundary Commission for Scotland. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
- "The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland". The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
- "Statement Regarding the 2013 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies". Boundary Commission for Wales. 31 January 2013. Retrieved 8 February 2013.
- "List of Labour's 106 target seats for 2015". Politicshome.com. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- "Labour TARGET SEATS". http://ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
- "CONSERVATIVE TARGET SEATS". http://ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
- "LIBERAL DEMOCRAT TARGET SEATS". http://ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 22 September 2013.
- Ross, Tim (30 December 2012). "TV debates could take place a year before election day". The Daily Telegraph (London). Retrieved 7 January 2013.
- "Will There Be Election Debates In 2015, And Who Will Fight Them?". Retrieved 7 January 2013.
- "Cameron: 'I Want Televised Leaders Debates'". Sky News. Retrieved 30 September 2013.
- "After Rotherham, Ukip aims to top the 2014 Euro poll". Retrieved 7 January 2013.
- "Can UKIP become a serious political party?". Retrieved 7 January 2013.
- "David Cameron: Don’t put Ukip in general election TV debate". http://www.standard.co.uk. Retrieved 21 August 2013.
- Ross, Tim (31 January 2013). "Ukip could get a place in TV election debates". London: http://www.telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 21 August 2013.
- "Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage in heated BBC debate over EU". BBC News. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
- "Has Nigel Farage booked himself a place in the 2015 election debates?". The Guardian. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
- "David Cameron will ditch TV debates in 2015 because he is scared of Nigel Farage demanding a place, UKIP claim". Mail Online. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
- "CAMERON READY TO DEBATE FARAGE IN 2015. UKIP: 'NIGEL WOULD MEET HIM TOMORROW'". Breitbart.com. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
- "Cameron ponders TV debate with Farage in run-up to 2015 election". The Times. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
- "European elections: Ukip set for landmark win". The Independent.
- "'UKIP could win Euro election', says Barroso". BBC News.
- "Ukip will win most votes in European elections says pollster". Financial Times.
- "UKIP to top Europe vote despite perceived racism - polls". Reuters.
- "Green Party in the General Election TV Debates". HM Government e-petitions. 8th March 2014. Retrieved 18th July 2014.
- "BBC NEWS: STOP THIS MEDIA BLACKOUT OF THE GREEN PARTY". 38 Degrees. Retrieved 18th July 2014.
- Boundary Commission for England
- Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland
- Boundary Commission for Scotland
- Boundary Commission for Wales ((in Welsh))